Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1111.742076 1260.566336 1425.433750 1622.228084 1851.527517 2111.203812 2428.867382
2025-09-21 861.060305 1051.412226 1281.475466 1582.454524 1969.406796 2455.027355 3118.298007
2025-09-28 719.250628 919.864025 1176.041896 1531.623806 2019.466970 2675.750053 3643.469208
2025-10-05 655.635087 871.978709 1161.507019 1584.526327 2199.076067 3078.966845 4470.722948
2025-10-12 598.282471 822.065327 1133.559182 1608.951118 2334.534691 3431.707482 5279.421084
2025-10-19 551.966849 780.411916 1109.615927 1631.972508 2465.622361 3790.934554 6157.290977
2025-10-26 513.050511 744.175586 1087.796164 1652.665658 2591.941123 4156.515508 7109.232876
2025-11-02 485.845710 721.916057 1083.423367 1698.174115 2761.827540 4616.504856 8315.230815
2025-11-09 453.890854 688.747094 1057.822090 1704.499184 2863.756099 4970.321756 9389.140315
2025-11-16 424.984103 657.431946 1031.537761 1705.506310 2954.519924 5314.776470 10512.251350
2025-11-23 402.336038 634.033862 1015.614457 1721.890657 3074.175939 5730.712549 11873.494636
2025-11-30 383.668979 615.455097 1005.734723 1747.313595 3213.247726 6205.710220 13472.579880
2025-12-07 352.927936 574.827601 955.649383 1695.884741 3200.512694 6377.637522 14437.848192
2025-12-14 325.980355 538.794348 910.824607 1650.156778 3194.620749 6566.975405 15505.983959
2025-12-21 300.901759 503.999470 865.041161 1597.188321 3165.606023 6698.376000 16456.127782
2025-12-28 292.824263 498.925413 873.309424 1652.708556 3378.234428 7427.830251 19247.091607
2026-01-04 281.533087 487.001528 867.472444 1678.372994 3527.778962 8033.748341 21873.491671
2026-01-11 270.953916 475.523999 861.365835 1702.560387 3677.270699 8668.729865 24798.695764
2026-01-18 260.900402 464.235496 854.560943 1724.304641 3824.060967 9326.294859 28027.619135
2026-01-25 254.280631 459.015104 859.343078 1772.132553 4042.398731 10225.883486 32430.266223
2026-02-01 243.980413 445.808703 846.671089 1778.780860 4157.136445 10855.816547 36101.848028
2026-02-08 233.899433 432.320509 832.289134 1779.839473 4257.538200 11465.746214 39949.265016
2026-02-15 225.964751 422.600671 825.050358 1797.062178 4404.378827 12252.218245 44866.808596